Calculating NFL Playoff Odds

2009 December 1
by rbabe

What are the odds that your favorite team will make the playoffs?  PlayoffStatus.com will tell you.  At the time of this writing, this is how the playoff picture is shaping up:

NFC Playoff Standings

Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
Team Division W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Saints South 11 0 0 78% 21% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Vikings North 10 1 0 22% 74% 4% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Cowboys East 8 3 0 < 1% 1% 42% 21% 9% 14% 12%
Cardinals West 7 4 0 < 1% 3% 29% 52% 1% 3% 12%
Packers North 7 4 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 53% 23% 24%
Eagles East 7 4 0 < 1% 1% 19% 5% 17% 19% 41%
Giants East 6 5 0 < 1% < 1% 3% 8% 7% 14% 67%
Falcons South 6 5 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 11% 21% 69%
Forty-Niners West 5 6 0 X < 1% 2% 13% 2% 5% 78%
Seahawks West 4 7 0 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 99%
Bears North 4 7 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
Panthers South 4 7 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
Redskins East 3 8 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
Lions North 2 9 0 X X X X X X 100%
Rams West 1 10 0 X X X X X X 100%
Buccaneers South 1 10 0 X X X X X X 100%

AFC Playoff Standings

Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
Team Division W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Colts South 11 0 0 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^
Chargers West 8 3 0 < 1% 44% 23% 13% 9% 6% 5%
Bengals North 8 3 0 < 1% 35% 35% 21% 1% 3% 4%
Patriots East 7 4 0 < 1% 13% 26% 48% 1% 2% 11%
Broncos West 7 4 0 < 1% 6% 11% 3% 25% 24% 31%
Ravens North 6 5 0 < 1% 1% 2% 2% 21% 19% 56%
Steelers North 6 5 0 < 1% 1% 3% 1% 20% 17% 58%
Jaguars South 6 5 0 X X X X 20% 19% 61%
Dolphins East 5 6 0 X < 1% 1% 10% 1% 3% 86%
Texans South 5 6 0 X X X X 2% 4% 94%
Jets East 5 6 0 X < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 1% 97%
Titans South 5 6 0 X X X X < 1% 2% 98%
Bills East 4 7 0 X X < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
Raiders West 3 8 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
Chiefs West 3 8 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
Browns North 1 10 0 X X X X X X 100%

Watch PlayoffStatus.com for updates.

Update: SportsClubStats.com is a similar, prettier site.

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  1. Software For Predicting NFL Playoffs | Ryan Babe

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